Bloomberg Election Odds
- 2 days ago Trudeau’s High Marks in Fiscal Ranking Increase Election Odds By. Kait Bolongaro, March 9, 2021, 7:00 AM EST. Survey for Bloomberg News asking Canadians which party is best suited to manage.
- (Bloomberg Opinion) - As Election Day nears, the possibility of a disputed presidential election is worrying a lot of people. You’ve heard the scenarios: An embittered Donald Trump loses but.
Oct 31, 2020 The authors performed 100,000 simulations of every presidential election from 1988 through 2016, and found that the chances that the outcome turns on fewer than 10,000 votes in a single state is 4.
Bloomberg Election Odds 2018
Election Betting Odds
Bloomberg Election Odds California
By Maxim Lott and John Stossel
Hover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Betfair and Smarkets
20.1% +0.0% |
15.1% +0.0% |
10.6% -0.1% |
5.7% +0.0% |
3.9% +0.0% |
3.9% +0.0% |
1.9% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.4% +0.0% |
1.2% +0.0% |
1.0% +0.0% |
0.9% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
0.5% +0.0% |
0.4% -0.1% |
0.4% +0.0% |
0.2% +0.0% |
25.6% |
54.0% +0.0% |
42.5% +0.0% |
3.5% |
22.4% 0.2% |
11.3% +0.0% |
10.0% +0.0% |
7.5% 0.1% |
4.8% 0.1% |
4.1% 0.1% |
3.7% -0.2% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.7% 0.2% |
2.5% 0.3% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.0% +0.0% |
1.6% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
15.8% |
By John Stossel | By Nate Silver | By Burton Malkiel | By Maajid Nawaz | By Yeonmi Park |
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About these odds and FAQ By Maxim Lott and John Stossel Odds update every minute
Copyright 2020, FTX.com
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Trump (R) | Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 2/5 - 2/29 | -- | -- | 48.3 | 44.4 | Bloomberg +3.9 |
| 2/20 - 2/29 | 839 RV | 3.5 | 48 | 45 | Bloomberg +3 | |
| 2/23 - 2/26 | 1000 RV | 3.0 | 48 | 40 | Bloomberg +8 | |
| 2/20 - 2/22 | 10000 RV | 1.2 | 42 | 45 | Trump +3 | |
| 2/14 - 2/17 | 913 RV | 4.0 | 50 | 45 | Bloomberg +5 | |
| 2/16 - 2/18 | 1250 RV | 2.7 | 49 | 51 | Trump +2 | |
| 2/14 - 2/17 | 900 RV | 3.3 | 50 | 43 | Bloomberg +7 | |
| 2/13 - 2/16 | 1164 RV | 3.7 | 48 | 44 | Bloomberg +4 | |
| 2/5 - 2/9 | 1519 RV | 2.5 | 51 | 42 | Bloomberg +9 | |
| 1/23 - 1/30 | 856 RV | 3.3 | 48 | 47 | Bloomberg +1 | |
| 1/20 - 1/23 | 880 RV | 4.0 | 49 | 46 | Bloomberg +3 | |
| 1/19 - 1/22 | 1005 RV | 3.0 | 49 | 41 | Bloomberg +8 | |
| 1/16 - 1/19 | 1051 RV | 3.6 | 52 | 43 | Bloomberg +9 | |
| 1/3 - 1/11 | 846 RV | 3.3 | 47 | 45 | Bloomberg +2 | |
| 12/10 - 12/14 | 1000 RV | 3.0 | 34 | 43 | Trump +9 | |
| 12/5 - 12/14 | 849 RV | 3.5 | 46 | 47 | Trump +1 | |
| 12/8 - 12/11 | 1000 RV | 3.0 | 45 | 40 | Bloomberg +5 | |
| 12/4 - 12/9 | 1553 RV | 2.5 | 48 | 42 | Bloomberg +6 | |
| 11/20 - 11/21 | 3850 RV | 1.7 | 46 | 40 | Bloomberg +6 |