Ncaa Tournament Spread Picks

The Seton Hall Pirates (13-11, 10-8 Big East) meet the St. John’s Red Storm (15-10, 9-9) for each team’s regular-season finale Saturday at Carnesecca Arena in Jamaica, N.Y. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Seton Hall-St. John’s odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

CBSSports.com's College Basketball expert picks provides daily picks for each game during the season.

The 10-team Southern Conference Tournament will be held in Asheville, NC, beginning Friday, March 5, and running through Monday, March 8. The action starts with #8 Citadel (12-11) and #9 seed Western Carolina (11-15) at 5:30 pm ET on Friday in a first-round game at Harrah’s Cherokee Center. As usual, no Sun Belt program will make the NCAA Tournament as an at-large. That means winning the conference tourney is their only shot to advance to March Madness. Texas State has won seven in a row and captured the program’s first regular-season conference crown since 1999, when it was a member of the Southland.

Seton Hall at St. John’s:Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

Money lineCollege football spread picks: Seton Hall -115 (bet $115 to win $100) St. John’s -105 (bet $105 to win $110)Against the spread/ATS: Seton Hall -1.5 (-105) St. John’s +1.5 (-115)Over/Under: 153.5 (O: -110 U: -110)

Seton Hall at St. John’s: Three things to know

Before their 81-67 whooping of Providence Wednesday, the Red Storm’s NCAA tournament hopes were damaged after losing three of their previous four games (2-3 ATS in their last five games).Seton Hall has a much better tournament resume with the Big East Tournament tipping off next week but has also struggled recently. The Pirates enter on a 3-game losing streak and haven’t covered in their last five contests.St. John’s was handled by Seton Hall 77-68 as 5-point road underdogs in their first meeting of the season Dec. 11. Pirates forward Sandro Mamukelashvili erupted for 32 points on 12-of-18 shooting with 9 rebounds and 3 assists.

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Seton Hall at St. John’s: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

St. John’s 86, Seton Hall 79

Money line (ML)

BET ST. JOHN’S (-105), who’ve been a great home team this season. The Johnnies have a 10-3 record at home, 9-4 ATS and are outscoring teams 81.7 to 74.5 on average in those games.

Also, St. John’s kept the first meeting against Seton Hall within a couple of possessions late but were unable to sink a crucial bucket.

Furthermore, the Pirates attempted 18 more free throws and the Johnnies are a pretty good 3-point shooting team but only connected on 19% of their 3-point attempts in the first meeting.

Both of those statistics should regress back to the mean in this game, and I like ST. JOHN’S (-105) to get revenge against Seton Hall at home.

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Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the spread unless St. John’s gets to +2.5, then take the points instead of the money line. However, since the money line and spread are nearly identical, there are applicable ATS trends in this game.

St. John’s is 8-3 ATS with a plus-4.3-point spread differential as home underdogs since head coach Mike Anderson took over the program last season. Plus, the Johnnies have the 4th-best cover rate in the Big East when playing conference foes since the beginning of 2019.

Over/Under (O/U)

The recent total trends of these two teams point to the Under yet BetMGM opened this Seton Hall-St. John’s total 5.5 points higher than the previous game despite the Under cashing in two straight and four of the last five meetings.

Ncaa Tournament Spread Picks

This intel has me lean towards the OVER 153.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because it feels like the House is trying to goad bettors into taking the Under.

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Ncaa Tournament Spread Picks College Football

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Ncaa Tournament Spread Picks Parlays

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