1. Vegas Odds Democratic Nomination 2020
2. Vegas Odds For Democratic Nomination 2020
3. Vegas Odds On Democratic Nomination

Bovada, a popular online betting site, puts the odds on Biden at -6,000 and Sanders at +1,200. Those odds mean that if you bet $6,000 on Biden, you’d win $100. Those odds mean that if you bet. Political betting may not be offered in the United States yet, but bookmakers in Europe are all over the Democratic race for the nomination. There are now betting odds listed for every Super Tuesday state (which is next Tuesday), with Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg and the rest of the field jockeying for delegates in what continues to be an unpredictable race.

• Odds on the Democrat Nominee for the 2024 Election according to Bovada Sportsbook Updated on January 5, 2021 US Presidential Election 2024 - Democratic Candidate.
• The United States presidential election of 2024 was the 60th quadrennial Presidential Election. Republican Nikki Haley, former Governor of South Carolina and 2016 Vice Presidential nominee, defeated Democrat John Hickenlooper, Vice President from Colorado. Former Governor Haley was only the second woman elected president, and the first Indian-American; also notable, the Haley/Carson ticket was.
• Online sportsbook Bovada has released the 2024 Democratic nominee odds with Biden sitting as the +250 favorite.

There’s no better time to be a political betting fan than during the party primaries leading up to an election year. During this process, handicappers are treated to 50 individual contests, one for each state—all available to bet—which culminate in a Democratic presidential candidate being nominated at the national convention.

Depending on the year, the field of competitors can range anywhere from two main candidates (like in 2016) to twenty, as was the case early in the 2020 primaries. Political handicappers watch the various debates, poll numbers, and media happenings, tracking who has the best odds of winning the nomination overall, as well as who has the edge in the next state or handful of states.

Best Sites for Betting on the Democratic Nominee

The US democratic primary betting sites above have been reviewed for a wide range of crucial factors, including safety, history/reputation, variety of wagers, bonuses, and website quality. Of all the online sportsbooks to pass our vetting process, these were found to be the very best political betting sites available.

If you’re going to be betting on the Democratic Party elections, we advise you open accounts at several of the top sportsbooks. Democratic betting odds can differ significantly from website to website, especially during the busier weeks in the race, like Super Tuesday, for example.

Once you’ve made your predictions, you’ll want to find the political betting site offering the best odds for that candidate, so you’re always maximizing the value of your wagers!

Betting Democratic Contests

What makes the primary season so thrilling for liberal betting handicappers is the high volume of events available. Each of America’s 50 states holds an individual inter-party contest to nominate their specific pick to become the party’s presidential nominee. Each of the states has a unique set of rules and voting processes. They’re divided into two main categories of voting: primaries and caucuses.

State Primary

State primaries are a standard electoral event in which voters cast ballots for the candidates they’d like to see nominated to represent the Democratic Party. When betting on US Democratic primaries, pay close attention to the types of voting machines a state uses, and whether the state party representatives keep a transparent paper trail. Politics is a dirty game, so you always have to pay attention to potential interference and security issues.

Caucuses

A caucus is different from a primary, as the voters do not cast ballots. Instead, they meet in designated precincts to discuss and show their support for preferred candidates. Each precinct is its own mini competition. Caucuses are much less precise than primaries and more susceptible to controversial results. In 2020, there are far fewer caucuses than before. After 2016, eight states changed from caucuses to primary systems, with only Iowa, Nevada, and Wyoming still caucusing.

DNC Nomination Futures Wagers

You can also bet on the eventual Democrat nominee at any time during the primary process. The overall 50-state competition for the nomination is called a “primary,” same as the “primaries” held by most individual states. So, for example, some caucuses are part of the primary process. (A little confusing, we know!)

Many sites that offer odds for betting politics will post their DNC nomination numbers over a year prior to the election year, setting lines for a large field of possible candidates. Online sportsbooks will often include multiple novelty picks, such as Oprah Winfrey, Dwayne “the Rock” Johnson, and Mark Cuban.

As the primary progresses, the markets sharpen at US Democratic election betting sites, and the field of top-tier candidates becomes clearer. With each primary/caucus outcome, day of news cycles, and new poll results, the posted lines continually update to reflect the latest data. Thus, timing your DNC primary election futures bets for maximum value is just as crucial as picking the right candidate!

Bet on Democratic Primary Debates

Throughout the process of selecting the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee, the candidates will traditionally meet in a series of public debates. Sometimes, these debates will cover a specific topic, while in others, they’re left open to a broad range of issues.

At some events, between one and four moderators will ask the questions and officiate speaking times. In other instances, the DNC will organize “town hall” style debates, in which members of the audience are given a chance to direct questions directly at their candidates of choice.

Watching the Democratic debates is an essential part of handicapping political primaries. How candidates are perceived on stage often dictate how enthusiastically supporters donate money to the campaigns and can have a significant effect on poll numbers. Pay attention to how well each participant answers the questions as well as how they come across on television. Sometimes, it’s not what they say, but how they say it, that matters most.

A fantastic debate performance can’t turn any old candidate into a frontrunner, but a disastrous showing can quickly tank even the most promising campaigns. More than anything, you want to bet on Democrat candidates who are less likely to suffer massive humiliations that will haunt them the rest of the primaries on live TV.

2020 Democratic Primary Debates

For the 2020 presidential election, the Democratic Party scheduled 12 DNC-sanctioned debates, beginning in June 2019. Six debates took place in 2019, with the remaining six reserved for the first four months of 2020.

This includes one scheduled in each of the four earliest primary states, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, all within a week of the upcoming contest in that same location. Almost two weeks after Super Tuesday (March 3, when 16 states and territories hold their primaries simultaneously), the remaining candidates will meet on stage again, in Arizona. The twelfth, and final debate has not yet been scheduled at the time of writing this guide on US Democratic election betting sites.

Democratic National Convention Betting Opportunities

• When: July 13-16, 2020
• Where: Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Choosing a Nominee

Following the 50 state-level contests, the remaining candidates arrive at the Democratic convention in July to plead their cases for the nomination. Each state awards a set number of pledged delegates, which are proportionately allocated to the candidates that finish with 15% or more of the votes.

For example, in New Hampshire, Bernie Sanders came in first place, with roughly 3,500 more votes than Buttigieg in second. Amy Klobuchar received 19% of the vote to come in third. Sanders and Buttigieg both won nine pledged delegates, while Klobuchar earned six. So, as you can see, a candidate can technically “lose” a primary and still gain an equal number of these crucial pledged delegates.

Superdelegates and Pledged Delegates

At the Democratic National Convention, a candidate needs 1,991 or more pledged delegates to secure the party nomination on the first ballot. For 2020, a new rule was enacted barring superdelegates, high-ranking party insiders and donors, from the initial vote. This was changed after 2016, when the superdelegates, who were all pledged to Clinton before the race began, appeared to cancel out the voters’ choices.

However, if nobody secures the 1,991 pledged delegates on the first ballot, the 500 to 700 superdelegates will be allowed to cast votes. Additionally, every previously pledged delegate becomes unpledged for each subsequent round of voting. It doesn’t matter to whom they originally belonged.

If the nomination requires more than one round of voting on the convention floor, that’s called a “contested” or “brokered” convention. Between the extended field of candidates and new rules allocating delegates proportionately (instead of “winner takes all” like before), the 2020 convention has a high likelihood of being contested.

2020 Democratic Debate Participants

• Joe Biden
• Bernie Sanders
• Elizabeth Warren
• Pete Buttigieg
• Amy Klobuchar
• Tulsi Gabbard
• Michael Bloomberg
• Beto O’Rourke
• Tom Steyer
• Andrew Yang
• Kamala Harris
• Cory Booker
• Julian Castro
• Marianne Williamson
• Michael Bennet
• Bill de Blasio
• John Delaney
• Tim Ryan
• Kirsten Gillibrand
• John Hickenlooper
• Eric Swalwell

Finding Value in Democratic Primary Betting Odds

For the most up-to-date news, information, and strategies related to US democratic election betting, check out our latest political wagering blog posts. They’ll break down specific results and upcoming contests, as well as share expert opinions and predictions for both individual primaries or caucuses along the way and DNC nomination futures odds.

In this section, we’ll go over some basic Democrat betting concepts to consider when handicapping the 2020 democratic primary elections. Wagering on politics hasn’t been popular in the United States for very long, but since 2016, we’ve learned quite a bit about how to accurately predict election results.

Example of Political Odds:

• 2020 Democratic CandidateOdds
• Joe Biden -140
• Bernie Sanders +175
• Michael Bloomberg +1600
• Hillary Clinton +3000
• Elizabeth Warren +5000
• Michelle Obama +8000
• Tulsi Gabbard +50000

Always Think About Betting Value

Whether you place a bet on politics or sports, a successful handicapper always has their mind on finding value. To make a profit over the long term, you have to look further than your surface-level predictions.

Positive betting value exists when the implied probability of the odds is exceeded by the real-life likelihood of an outcome taking place. For example, a -200 favorite has an implied probability of 66.67%. Another way to think of that is at those odds; you’d need to win the payout 66.67% of the time to break even.

So, if a Democratic candidate is listed at -200 to win the South Carolina primary, for example, but you’ve determined there’s a 70% chance they’ll emerge victoriously, that bet has value! If you like a candidate’s odds in a given race, but their line makes the payout not worth the risk, stay away. It doesn’t matter how sure you are that the favorite will win.

Follow Poll Numbers, but Don’t Overvalue Them

Poll numbers can be an extremely helpful tool throughout the primaries process. Assuming you primarily follow the more prominent, trustworthy pollsters, these updates can grant insight into which topics and issues are resonating most with voters. You can also track which candidates are surging and which are on the decline.

Many polls even break down each candidate’s support with individual demographics of people, including by age, race, economic class, and more. This data will also be useful in helping to predict how Democratic primary contenders will perform in upcoming contests.

However, you don’t want to lean on the poll numbers too heavily. That’s the mistake so many pundits and political bettors made in 2016. Sometimes, polls possess inherent biases. Many of these surveys are conducted over the phone, for example. Older voters are much more likely to answer a call from an unknown number and participate in a poll than younger citizens.

There have also been instances of pollsters going out of their way to collect data that supports their personal desires. In 2016, many of the top Democratic-leaning media outlets continuously oversold Hillary Clinton’s likelihood of winning. They routinely posted misleading poll numbers, while the crowd sizes at both candidates’ campaign rallies told a different story.

So, follow the polls to get a feel for the general “rhythms” of the Democratic primaries over time, but don’t let them exclusively dictate your Democrat betting decisions.

Read Competing News Sources

These days, it’s too easy to get stuck in a bubble where one only sees the news that agrees with their worldview. Liberal media constantly attacks and blames conservatives for everything wrong in this country, while simultaneously ignoring the criticisms of Democrats, while Fox News and right-wing outlets do the exact opposite.

As a result, there are precious few news sources attempting to report objective facts. This is unfortunate because, when placing a bet on politics, the objective truth of what’s going to happen is all that matters.

Until you find a handful of objective journalists, like our political betting experts at The Sports Geek, at least make sure you’re collecting information from a variety of sources. If you’ve read three CNN/MSNBC articles, mix in a few Fox News or Breitbart pieces to see what the other side is saying.

Remember, your personal political leanings do not matter, nor does your opinion regarding which party is correct. All that matters is predicting how the competing messages will be met by the American electorate and who will win their races.

Be a Student of History

“History repeats itself,” as the old phrase goes. When betting Democratic elections, you’d be shocked by how much valuable knowledge can be gleaned from prior election cycles. The 2020 primary, for example, closely resembles the 1972 race. Bernie Sanders fits the description of a modern-day George McGovern and Joe Biden’s troubled campaign is reminiscent of Ed Muskie. Donald Trump would be Richard Nixon, the first of only three presidents ever to have been impeached, with Trump being the third after Bill Clinton.

The similarities won’t always be so obvious, but there’s still plenty to learn. When there’s a small field, what kind of candidate benefits? What effect does a larger field of options have on strong grassroots movements? In this case, a larger, more divided field, gives more progressive “outsider” campaigns an advantage since the moderates are split amongst several similar politicians.

2020 Democratic Primary Candidates

Bernie Sanders

At the time of writing, Democrat Socialist Bernie Sanders—a senator from Vermont—is the favorite to win the 2020 nomination. Sanders went head-to-head with Hillary Clinton in 2016, where he built the powerful progressive movement that powers his candidacy today. Many in the leadership and donor ranks of the DNC do not like Bernie, nor do they see him as a “true” Democrat. Because of this, he’s often met with resistance from liberal media outlets and party officials alike.

Joe Biden

Joe Biden spent several decades in Congress and served as Barack Obama’s Vice President from 2008 to 2016. For months, before the first Iowa caucus, the former VP polled as the national favorite to win the Democratic nomination. However, his status amongst the field proved overblown once the real contests began. He’s relying on a first-place finish in South Carolina to remain viable.

Political betting has become a massive market for online betting sites in recent years. Trump’s unprecedented upset of Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election was a catalyst for political betting’s foray into the online gambling mainstream.

Just about all of the top online betting sites have been keeping tabs on the latest developments ahead of the highly-anticipated 2020 United States election, which is set for Tuesday, November 3rd. Here’s everything you need to know about the best political betting sites offering Democratic party odds, as well as a dive into the Democratic Party as a whole. To start things off, we have included a list of best sites for Democratic party betting below.

The Democratic Party is the oldest active political party in the world. The party was founded back in 1828 by supporters of Andrew Jackson. Interestingly enough, the original iteration of the Democratic Party stood for a lot of things the modern-day party starkly opposes.

Back then, the party was in favor of things like limited government, slavery, and state sovereignty. However, things changed dramatically when Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt introduced his New Deal coalition in the 1930s. Since then, the party has gradually shifted toward the left, while the rival Republican Party has done an about-face of its own. The Republican Party originated supporting classic liberal policies, but it is now much more conservative than the Democratic Party.

Nowadays, the Democrats are the ones supporting liberalism. Some of the more noteworthy platforms taken by the Democratic Party as we know it today are protections for the environment, universal healthcare for all Americans, LGBT rights, and more stringent gun restrictions.

15 Democrats have won the presidency since the party’s inception. The first was Jackson in 1829, and the most recent was Barack Obama, who served from 2009 until 2017. 19 Republicans have been elected to the highest post in the land in a shorter period of time, so betting on Democrats to win the White House hasn’t been the most profitable move for political bettors over the years.

Things could be swinging in their favor, though. The Democrats regained a majority in the House of Representatives in 2018, and most political betting sites have the presumptive Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, favored to beat Republican Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election.

What Makes a Good Online Political Betting Site?

Democratic Party Betting Coverage

You’ll have a hard time betting on the election online if your site doesn’t take bets on politics. Betting on American politics has been popular in the United Kingdom for quite some time, and the majority of major offshore betting sites carry odds on the world of politics, too.

If you’re using a betting operator based in the US, you won’t find Democratic nominee betting odds or any US political odds. That’s because American betting providers are not allowed to take bets on US politics by law. So, if you live in the United States, you’ll have to use an offshore operator if you want to bet on who wins the 2020 presidential election.

Attractive Bonus Offers

One aspect of betting real money on Democratic candidates online that you won’t find at your local casino is bonuses. Political betting sites know you have no shortage of options when it comes to gambling online. So, they try to separate themselves from the competition by offering more advantageous bonus offers than others might. Many of them even offer you the chance to double your bankroll for free simply by signing up and making your first deposit.

Not all bonuses are the same, which is why taking the time to shop around in search of the most favorable bonus offer will be worth your while.

Vegas Odds Democratic Nomination 2020

Banking Options

Your local grocery store accepts a number of different payment options, so why shouldn’t your online Democratic party betting provider do the same? Sites with the best Democrat betting odds accept a variety of payment methods for your convenience, and you can work your way around certain legal limitations. Some banks won’t allow customers to make financial transactions with betting entities. So, you may need a workaround if you want to make a deposit and bet on politics online.

That’s why sites accept cryptocurrency, like Bitcoin, or e-wallets, such as PayPal, as alternative banking options. They’ll still accept most major credit cards, as well, so you should have no trouble finding a deposit method that suits what you’re looking for.

Betting on the Democratic Party

Primaries

Before the Democrats officially nominate a presidential candidate, all candidates must first go through the nomination process. The party formally organizes electoral contests in all 50 states, Washington DC, and US territories. The 2020 Democratic nomination process was scheduled to run from February of ’20 until August.

The vast majority of states use a primary in order to determine how many delegates each candidate will receive. Because the primary process wasn’t outlined in the US Constitution, it has been left up to the parties to determine how to conduct these procedures.

A primary is simple. The candidate that receives the most votes will receive the most delegates from a given state. The candidate that receives a plurality of delegates from all states, territories, and jurisdictions mathematically clinches the party’s presidential nomination. In 2020, the nominee would have to receive at least 1,991 delegates to earn the nomination. Biden accomplished the feat in early June.

Primaries tend to be more predictable than caucuses. Caucuses tend to be far less organized, which can lead to some chaos, as we saw at the 2020 Iowa caucus. The results for the Iowa caucus weren’t available for several days as a result of issues with vote reporting.

Caucuses

At a primary, voters simply have to show up at a polling place, cast their vote, and leave. A caucus is a different, much more involved process. At a caucus, voters meet and split into groups that include other voters that plan to support the same candidate. They will then all cast votes for that candidate, while other groups will do the same.

If a certain candidate doesn’t meet a certain threshold in terms of votes, they are essentially eliminated from receiving further consideration. So, supporters of candidates that don’t achieve viability are given the choice to either leave or branch off into a different group in order to support a different viable candidate.

At the aforementioned 2020 Iowa caucus, Pete Buttigieg won 14 delegates, while Bernie Sanders took 12. This despite the fact that Sanders actually earned a higher percentage of the overall popular vote. Biden, whose campaign was floundering at the time, earned the fourth-most delegates.

The number of states that use the caucus system has been dipping in recent years. Hawaii, Kansas, and Maine were among the states to adopt the primary system for the first time in 2020. After the debacle in Iowa, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see that state follow suit next time around. Nevada, Wyoming, and North Dakota are the only other states that still use the caucus system.

Futures Bets

The most common type of political wager is a futures bet on how a race will pan out. For example, there have been odds on who will win the 2020 election since the 2016 election ended. Sites with the best Democrat betting odds have been keeping track of the latest happenings and updating their futures odds accordingly.

While the Democratic nominee betting odds for Joe Biden might not be currently valuable, they could change at any point. As recently as November, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren was a +110 favorite to earn the nomination. In March, Sanders was given minus-money odds to do so at certain sites.

Obviously, there is value to be had in the other political odds besides the Democratic nominee odds given the volatility in the current political climate. Trump pulled the upset in 2016 despite some British bookmakers having given him +400 odds to do so on Election Day.

With Biden having all but wrapped up the nomination, most Democratic Party betting sites are now focused on whom he may choose to serve as his vice president. Futures Democratic betting odds on vice presidential candidates are commonly listed like this:

Basics for Online Betting on the Democratic Party

Plenty of States and Cities Are Reliably Blue

Despite the Democratic Party’s origins in the Deep South, the southeastern US is territory that Republicans tend to dominate nowadays. While there are a couple of swing states in the southeast in Florida, North Carolina, and Georgia, Democrats these days tend to fare well in urban areas.

The vast majority of major US cities have Democratic mayors. Of the 50 biggest cities in the country, 35 currently have Democratic mayors. That includes New York City, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix, and Philadelphia, which just happen to be the six biggest cities in terms of population in the US.

States like California, New York, Massachusetts, Washington, Oregon, and New Jersey have also reliably voted in favor of Democrats in recent presidential elections. So, if you’re betting real money on Democratic candidates online in 2020, keep in mind that certain states almost always support Democrats.

Electoral College Betting

You can use some of the information listed above to help you place winning bets on Electoral College outcomes. Some political betting sites are offering props on which candidates will take certain states in the 2020 presidential election.

Vegas Odds For Democratic Nomination 2020

States like California and New York that almost always vote Democrat don’t offer much value. The Democratic candidate is listed at -2000 to win California, and -2500 to take New York. However, value can be found in certain swing states that could be swinging to the left after going in Trump’s favor in 2016.

States like North Carolina, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Virginia are shaping up to be potential toss-ups in the general election. If you’re looking for prop bets that could be worth your while, keep an eye on Electoral College odds as we get closer to Election Day.

Democratic National Convention

The 2020 Democratic National Convention was originally scheduled to be held in Milwaukee in July. However, the nation’s sweeping health crisis forced Democrats to postpone the convention until August, at the earliest. Losing Wisconsin to Trump in 2016 was essentially the nail in the coffin for the Democratic Party. So, it’s no surprise that they have opted to hold the upcoming convention in the state in an attempt to drum up some local momentum.

The Democratic National Convention is essentially a rally designed to celebrate the official nomination process. The 2020 version was originally slated for July 13 through 16, but it is now on the calendar for August 17 through 20. Whether the event will be held at all remains to be seen, considering thousands of people are expected to flock to Milwaukee.

Biden is widely expected to be unveiled as the party’s official nominee, while his preferred VP candidate is still unknown. As of now, you can bet on whether the Democratic Convention will be held in Milwaukee as planned, or whether the Democrats will have to hold the event virtually.

Bettors can also wager on who Biden will tap as his running mate at Democratic party betting sites, as mentioned above.

Will Democrats Win in 2020?

The 2016 election was a catastrophic failure for the Democratic Party. Not only did Trump and the Republicans take the White House, but Republicans were also able to maintain their majorities in both houses of Congress.

In the 2018 mid-terms, Democrats were able to battle back to seize a majority in the House of Representatives, which led directly to Trump’s impeachment in late 2019. However, the Republican-led Senate voted to acquit Trump of any wrongdoing at his impeachment trial, which kept him in office.

Trump has been a betting favorite to win re-election since 2020 odds opened, but the tide has recently changed. As of this writing, some betting sites have Biden as high as a -140 favorite to win the White House back for the Democrats, as Trump’s domestic approval rating continues to sink.

Because the US presidential election betting odds are constantly changing, you must keep up with the current events that are taking place in the political world. A good place to start would be our political betting blogs below.

Whether Trump is able to turn the tide and regain momentum by the time November rolls around remains to be seen. All bookmakers in the UK have now listed Biden as the favorite to win the election as well.

You can also bet on which party will hold the majority in either house of Congress after the election. Democrats are sizable favorites to hold their majority in the House, while the Senate is looking like a 50-50 proposition. Republicans essentially hold a 53-47 edge as things stand now, though a number of Republican candidates are thought to be vulnerable.

Vegas Odds On Democratic Nomination

Republicans are still slight favorites to hold the majority in the Senate, but Trump’s dwindling approval numbers may not help those Republicans vying to stay in power.